Yankees seeking eighth straight win in Seattle

Baseball Betting Lines

07/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third of four weekend games between the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners will ensue at Safeco Field tonight, but the contest seems secondary in the headlines to a trade that fell through between the teams yesterday.

The reigning World Series champions were reportedly close to trading for Seattle pitcher Cliff Lee before the Texas Rangers swooped in and landed the All-Star lefty from their division rival in exchange for first baseman Justin Smoak and three minor league prospects.

The transaction at least allowed the Yankees to avoid facing Lee on Friday, and they responded with a 6-1 victory for their seventh straight win.

Phil Hughes (11-2), who had given up 11 earned runs over his previous two starts, allowed just one run on six hits while walking none and striking out five over seven innings.

"[Hughes] used all his pitches today. I thought he had a real good curveball," Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. "A lot of teams would take 11 wins from their fifth starter on the year...that's a big deal for half the year."

Mark Teixeira hit a pair of solo home runs and Robinson Cano had a two-run triple during a four-run sixth inning for the victors.

David Pauley (0-1), in his first major league start since 2008, allowed three runs -- one earned -- on two hits and a walk over five-plus innings for Seattle, which has dropped five straight and eight of nine overall.

"I knew what the situation was and I knew I had to try to get them some innings and try to save the bullpen," said Pauley of his emergency start. "I knew it had been a while, but I wasn't worried about that. I just tried to keep myself the same."

While the Yankees have been outstanding as a team this season, veteran righty Javier Vazquez has simply been mediocre. Through 16 starts, Vazquez is 7-7 with a 4.81 ERA. He is, however, coming off a tremendous outing against Oakland on Monday, one in which he scattered three hits and just one earned run over seven innings of work en route to victory.

Vazquez lost his only previous start against Seattle this season and is 4-3 with a 4.37 ERA lifetime against Seattle.

Set to oppose Vazquez is Seattle's Felix Hernandez. While the righty's 6-5 record isn't overly impressive, he can certainly take pride in a 3.01 ERA. Hernandez did not figure in the decision of Monday's matchup with Kansas City, but he allowed only two earned runs on six hits over seven innings.

In 128 2/3 innings of work so far this season, "King Felix" has struck out 122 batters.

Hernandez pitched a complete game two-hit gem against the Yankees back on June 30 and is 3-3 with a 3.61 ERA lifetime against New York.

Seattle took two of three matchups at Yankee Stadium from June 29-July 1 and has won five of the past nine meetings between the clubs.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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